Guaraní vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
RES
0 - 0
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
JLM
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
12O
1 - 2
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
12O
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 1
12O
59%
24%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
12O
1 - 3
JLM
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
OLI
4 - 1
12O
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |