Guaraní vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CCP
5 - 5
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
GUA
6 - 0
DEP
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 4
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
GEN
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
12O
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |