Guaraní vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
AME
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
GUA
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
2DE
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
12O
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 0
12O
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
12O
0 - 2
LIB
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |