Guaraní vs 2 de Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
8º
2º
34
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
2DE
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
2DE
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 2
2DE
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
2DE
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |