Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
RPA
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
RÑU
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 3
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AME
3 - 2
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 5
CCP
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |