Guaraní vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CCC
0 - 2
GUA
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
GUA
4 - 1
STR
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAC
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
CCP
1 - 2
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
NOB
2 - 3
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 3
GLP
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
CAU
2 - 3
RIV
25%
23%
53%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
RIV
3 - 2
ARG
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |