Guaraní vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CUE
4 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 1
GUA
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BOC
3 - 0
ARG
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 1
BOC
33%
26%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BOC
3 - 1
HUR
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 0
BOC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |