Guaraní vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
3 - 1
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCH
58%
19%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
2 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOC
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 0
RIV
64%
20%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
4 - 0
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
QUI
0 - 3
BOC
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |