Guaraní vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
LQE
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 2
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |