Guarani MG vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GUA
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAL
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
BOA
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
URT
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 7
ATM
8%
18%
75%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |