Guarani MG vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CRZ
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
6 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
VOL
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 0
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
TUP
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
NEC
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |