Guarani MG vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
FUN
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRZ
4 - 1
GUA
97%
3%
1%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
TUP
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
ANA
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
VOL
58%
23%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -4 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
SEC
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |