Guarani MG vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
USC
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
DEM
3 - 2
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 3
GUA
86%
10%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEM
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 2
ATM
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
SOC
0 - 0
TUP
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
TUP
2 - 1
NOR
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 0
TUP
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
MIR
3 - 1
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |