Guarani MG vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
4 - 0
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
AME
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 1
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 3
TOM
32%
25%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TOM
0 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
TOM
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TOM
2 - 1
BOA
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRZ
3 - 1
TOM
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |