Guarani MG vs Rio Branco MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SOC
0 - 0
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
ATM
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMF
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 1
CRZ
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
TUP
0 - 1
RBR
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
UBE
3 - 2
RBR
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 0
SOC
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 0
RBR
88%
10%
3%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |