Guarani MG vs Nacional EC MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
4 - 0
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
AME
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 1
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 3
ATM
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 1
TUP
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
4 - 0
AME
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 0
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |