Guarani MG vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
MAM
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
MAM
2 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
PDC
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
URT
2 - 4
GUA
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
FEC
1 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 2
ICA
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
IFC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 0
DUQ
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
IFC
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COT
3 - 0
IFC
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |