Guarani MG vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
GUA
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
CRZ
9%
20%
71%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
AMF
12%
21%
67%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
0 - 1
TUP
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 1
DEM
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 0
DEM
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
20%
71%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |