Guarani MG vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
71.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 0
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
AMF
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MAM
0 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
TUP
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 1
GUA
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAL
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
2 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UBE
0 - 1
ATM
11%
20%
70%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLA
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
COR
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |