Catarinense 2 Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Guarani de Palhoça vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 0
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
CAC
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
CRA
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 0
GUA
42%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NES
3 - 2
MET
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
MET
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
CFC
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |