Guarani de Palhoça vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
BLU
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
0 - 0
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
TUB
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
ITU
21%
27%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -3 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITU
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ITU
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +2 |