Guarani de Palhoça vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 3
AVA
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
INT
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
CRI
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
HER
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |