Guarani de Palhoça vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
FFL
10%
20%
70%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
CHA
11%
22%
67%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 1
GUA
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
HER
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
HER
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |