Guarani de Palhoça vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
TUB
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAM
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
JEC
17%
23%
61%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
LON
34%
23%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LON
2 - 2
GRE
57%
22%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
PRU
65%
19%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |