Guarani de Palhoça vs Carlos Renaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 0
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CFC
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
TUB
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carlos Renaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 0
BLU
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 1
MET
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SCA
3 - 0
CRA
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
CFC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 2
CRA
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |