Guarani de Palhoça vs Caravaggio FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
39%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
TUB
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 0
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 0
CAM
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
CFC
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
BLU
37%
22%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 2
CFC
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 3
SCA
32%
22%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |