Guarani de Palhoça vs Camboriú FC analysis

Guarani de Palhoça Camboriú FC
51 ELO 48
11% Tilt -4.7%
7773º General ELO ranking 2896º
338º Country ELO ranking 84º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Guarani de Palhoça
24.1%
Draw
21.4%
Camboriú FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
Guarani de Palhoça
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
Camboriú FC
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guarani de Palhoça
-16%
-14%
Camboriú FC

ELO progression

Guarani de Palhoça
Camboriú FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guarani de Palhoça
Guarani de Palhoça
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2016
AVA
Avaí
1 - 0
Guarani de Palhoça
GUA
67%
20%
13%
50 61 11 0
09 Apr. 2016
GUA
Guarani de Palhoça
4 - 2
Brusque
BRU
29%
25%
46%
49 57 8 +1
02 Apr. 2016
GUA
Guarani de Palhoça
2 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
20%
24%
56%
48 65 17 +1
27 Mar. 2016
MET
Metropolitano
2 - 2
Guarani de Palhoça
GUA
55%
23%
22%
48 51 3 0
20 Mar. 2016
FFL
Figueirense
3 - 0
Guarani de Palhoça
GUA
74%
18%
8%
48 72 24 0

Matches

Camboriú FC
Camboriú FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2016
CAM
Camboriú FC
1 - 1
Figueirense
FFL
15%
21%
64%
48 73 25 0
09 Apr. 2016
CRI
Criciúma
5 - 0
Camboriú FC
CAM
71%
20%
9%
49 64 15 -1
03 Apr. 2016
JEC
Joinville
1 - 0
Camboriú FC
CAM
70%
21%
9%
49 68 19 0
26 Mar. 2016
CAM
Camboriú FC
2 - 2
Internacional SC
INT
39%
23%
38%
49 53 4 0
20 Mar. 2016
CAM
Camboriú FC
3 - 2
Brusque
BRU
31%
25%
44%
48 56 8 +1
X