Guarani de Palhoça vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRI
0 - 0
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 3
MET
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
FFL
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
77%
16%
6%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 3
BRU
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SCI
3 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 2
AVA
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |