Cearense 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
GUA
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
FOR
11%
20%
69%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 5
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
UNI
85%
12%
4%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |