Guarani de Juazeiro vs São Benedito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
21%
23%
55%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 2
GUA
37%
24%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 1
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
21%
23%
55%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 3
FER
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 3
ICA
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |