Guarani de Juazeiro vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IMP
3 - 2
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
IMP
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
IMP
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
IMP
0 - 0
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIV
25%
26%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |