Guarani de Juazeiro vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
ALE
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CEA
5 - 0
GUA
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 0
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -2 |