Guarani de Juazeiro vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
77%
17%
6%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
GUA
77%
17%
6%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
GLO
27%
27%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
ALT
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAR
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |