Guarani de Juazeiro vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
6 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
GUA
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CSA
27%
28%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 2
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |