Guarani de Juazeiro vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 2
GUA
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
4 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 2
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRA
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
FOR
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |