Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
5 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 4
GUA
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
OES
2 - 0
ICA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 0
OES
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
PAY
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
PAY
3 - 2
ICA
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |