Guarani de Juazeiro vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 2
GUA
37%
24%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 3
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ICA
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
4 - 2
CRA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
HOR
31%
23%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
HOR
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 1
YPI
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |