Guarani de Juazeiro vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
31%
28%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ICA
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |