Guarani de Juazeiro vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
59.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 2
GUA
54%
23%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
FOR
16%
23%
60%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 3
FOR
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |