Guarani de Juazeiro vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
GUA
85%
12%
3%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
HOR
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 3
CSA
25%
28%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
NOV
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
HOR
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
FLO
1 - 2
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |