Guarani de Juazeiro vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
18%
23%
60%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
QUI
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
QUI
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 3
HOR
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
ICA
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FER
3 - 1
TIR
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |