Guarani de Juazeiro vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 5
TIR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 3
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
29%
24%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
LIM
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 5
CEA
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |