Guarani de Juazeiro vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
6 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
CSA
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CEN
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
6 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CSA
27%
28%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -2 |