Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
5 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 4
GUA
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
TIR
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 3
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
TRA
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
ICA
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |