Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
4 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 1
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
3 - 2
CRA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
TIR
3 - 2
CRA
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |