Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 0
GUA
21%
26%
54%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
POR
65%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 1
JCE
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
CRA
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 2
CRA
31%
24%
46%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
CRA
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |