Guarani de Juazeiro vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
73.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
QUI
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
86%
11%
3%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
TIR
81%
14%
6%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
CEA
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
QUI
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
86%
11%
3%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |