Cearense 2 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Cariri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAC
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GPM
1 - 0
GUA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
TIR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cariri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
CFS
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CFS
5 - 0
PAC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ICA
1 - 0
CFS
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GPM
2 - 1
CFS
47%
22%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
CFS
1 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |