Guaraní vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
GOI
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 3
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
PPE
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 0
CRZ
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
JUV
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
ATM
44%
24%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
4 - 1
VAS
41%
24%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |