Guaraní vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
OES
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
4 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
AGU
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
OES
3 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNI
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
RIO
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |